“Old Demons”

The International Crisis Group argues that if you want to understand the future conflicts in Lebanon, you have to look north to Tripoli’s Bab el Tebbaneh and Jabal Mohsen:

“Many politicians and commentators evoke the possibility of an impending coup d’état or even a new civil war […] But the more probable short-term scenario is repetition of a recurring Lebanese cycle: a political stalemate that triggers popular tensions which, in turn, political actors manipulate in order to bolster their leverage”