Beirut Spring

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Remember that politics move quickly, and people and their opinions evolve.

“A Disaster Waiting To Happen”

January 21, 2011 · Mustapha Hamoui

Michael Young predicts that Hezbollah will form the next government.

What lies ahead will not be easy for Hezbollah and Syria to manage. Hezbollah’s single-minded focus on undermining the Special Tribunal is compelling it to make mistakes elsewhere. Sponsoring a government against Lebanon’s Sunnis and a large share of the Christians, who despite their decline still represent the economic backbone of the country, is a disaster waiting to happen. Weapons can do many things, but they cannot purchase legitimacy and prosperity.

He under-plays the possibility of a run on banks, but I wouldn’t be so sure..